31 July 2003

Disturbance still trekking across eastern Atlantic...

The significant tropical wave and embedded Low that I mentioned
yesterday has changed little in the past 24 hours.  Late Wednesday
night, there was a cold CDO, but by Thurs morning, it was largely gone. 
Banding features are still evident though, and a return of deep
convection is expected later tonight.  While shear and SST are
favorable, it's in a general environment that is stable and dry, so that
has been hindering a more rapid development.

The low is presently at about 10N 37W and tracking W at 20kts.  Models
vary on whether or not the system will survive.  Just for future
reference, the next number/name on deck is 8/Erika.

Please visit my tropical Atlantic headquarters.

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