17 August 2004

Danielle STILL a Category 2 storm...

For nearly 2.5 days, Danielle has maintained CAT2 intensity over the far
open ocean.  However, a rapid demise is in store as a strong upper-Low
spins just to its west and imposes very strong vertical wind shear over
the hurricane.  
At 21Z, Hurricane Danielle was located at 25.8N 40.5W and tracking N at
16kts.  The intensity has decreased a bit to 85kts and 974mb.  Weakening
should continue rather quickly, and is expected to cross over the Azores
midday Saturday as a Tropical Storm.

The remnants of Earl are looking worse as time goes on, and regeneration
seems more and more unlikely, much to the relief of Gulf coast
residents!  The open wave is now located near the east coast of
Nicaragua, in the far southwestern Caribbean Sea.  It does stand a shot
at regeneration in the eastern Pacific basin.

Still tracking the tropical wave near the Cape Verde Islands, it's now
at approx 10N 30W and heading W at 20kts.  It's not very well organized
presently, but will be watched as it heads across the deep tropics
toward the Lesser Antilles.

As of 21Z today, the Atlantic basin is at 48% of the average activity
for the entire season, and that has all occured since August 1!

Please visit my tropical Atlantic headquarters.

No comments:

Post a Comment