An easterly wave that was "born" one week ago over the Ethiopian Highlands exited the African coast yesterday and quickly got organized. It's now just a couple hundred miles off the coast, halfway to the Cape Verde Islands at approximately 16N 21W. It has a 1006mb Low embedded within it, and is tracking W at 15kts. However, it is forecast to curve toward the WNW-NW and into higher shear and cooler water. The SST now is only around 26C, but could drop to 24C in the next couple of days. It would become TD5 or TS Edouard if it can strengthen before the environmental conditions deteriorate.
Please visit my tropical Atlantic headquarters.
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