29 September 2011

Fourth hurricane of the season

At 21Z today, Ophelia was upgraded to a 65kt hurricane, the 4th of the season.  This is still a record low number of hurricanes for having 16 named storms though.  Looking back through the records, any season with 16+ named storms had at least 7 hurricanes.

The storm intensity guidance is from satellite estimates, since there aren't any aircraft in it, and it's not too close to any buoys.  The central pressure is down to 987mb, with a forecast for additional strengthening over the next couple of days.

Please visit my tropical Atlantic headquarters.

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