Wilma remained on course for a direct hit on Cozumel and Cancun, and has unfortunately almost stalled there. The island of Cozumel has been in the eyewall for much of the afternoon. Again, you can find the latest radar image from Cancun at http://einstein.atmos.colostate.edu/~mcnoldy/tropics/wilma/latest.gif and if you're interested in watching a long and growing radar loop, that's available at http://einstein.atmos.colostate.edu/~mcnoldy/tropics/wilma/Wilma_Radar.gif Aircraft have been flying it all day, and the pressure has remained steady in the mid 920mb ballpark. The eyewall has contracted slightly during the day, now down to 24 miles across. Sustained winds are 120kts with gusts to 145kts. The cirrent location is directly over Cozumel. The forecast is pretty bad for Mexico... the storm is expected to stall over the Yucatan peninsula for a couple of days, then with the next trough, get pushed ENE toward southern FL. US landfall is now forecast to be Monday afternoon near Fort Myers as a CAT2 hurricane. The intensity forecast is VERY iffy at this point, so FL residents should prepare for much worse and hope for the best. Wilma is already responsible for at least 13 deaths.Please visit my tropical Atlantic headquarters.
Brief summaries of tropical Atlantic activity tailored to the general public, coastal residents, and weather enthusiasts. I have been sending out these updates since 1996, and appreciate everyone's continued interest!
21 October 2005
Wilma pounds Yucatan...
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