It has been a week since my last update, and since then Harvey came and went, finally making the transition to an extratropical cyclone over the north Atlantic, never having made it to a hurricane. And TD9 that I mentioned in that update had briefly become TS Irene for a day, then weakened back to a TD, but over the past couple of days is making a genuine effort at looking impressive. Now back to a TS and forecast to become a hurricane, Irene is between Puerto Rico and Bermuda and heading northwest. It had been battling dry Saharan air that sometimes lingers over the ocean, as well as vertical wind shear. As of 21Z today, TS Irene was located at 25.7N 63.9W and tracking WNW at 13kts. The maximum sustained winds are 45kts and the central pressure is 1000mb. Conditions continue to improve and it is expected to reach hurricane intensity by Friday night. The forecast track is most interesting... it could nip the US coast near Cape Hatteras or recurve before hitting. At any rate, the closest approach should occur sometime on Tuesday.Please visit my tropical Atlantic headquarters.
Brief summaries of tropical Atlantic activity tailored to the general public, coastal residents, and weather enthusiasts. I have been sending out these updates since 1996, and appreciate everyone's continued interest!
11 August 2005
Irene making a comeback...
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