On Sunday night, Irene was upgraded to a hurricane, the third of the season. Since then, the satellite presentation has been quite nice, and it's not outlandish to think that it could become a CAT2 storm before transitioning to extratropical over the central north Atlantic. At 21Z, Hurricane Irene was located at 36.7N 66.0W and tracking ENE at 10kts. The latest satellite imagery suggests that the motion is perhaps even E at 10kts. Estimated intensity is 80kts and 980mb. TD10 formed in the deep tropics over the weekend, but was in a high- shear environment. Only four advisories were written before NHC decided to downgrade it to a low-level circulation. HOWEVER, within about 12 hours, it will be crossing a low-shear zone, and if it takes advantage of that, it could regenerate and become interesting again. I've descibed the NTC Activity index before, and as of now, the season stands at about 79%, which is quite phenomenal for the second week of August! Typically, the bulk of the season is still coming in the next two months!Please visit my tropical Atlantic headquarters.
15 August 2005
Irene becomes 3rd hurricane, TD10 comes and goes...
Posted by at 6:27 PM