TS Alex is just 120 miles southeast of Charleston, SC, and organizing quickly. Last night, Alex was seemingly rather disorganized, with the convection all displaced to the south of the center. This morning, in a matter of just 2-3 hours, an eye, spiral rainbands, and ragged eyewall have formed (first evident in the radar imagery, and more recently in the visible satellite imagery as well). As of 15Z, Alex was located at 31.5N 78.7W and drifting ENE at 4kts. Intensity measured by aircraft is 50kts and 993mb. Given the recent trend of improved organization, further strengthening is very likely, and Alex might become the first hurricane of the season. It appears that the storm will just scrape the US coast, passing very close to Cape Fear and Cape Hatteras Tuesday morning. A radar loop from Charleston, SC shows the circulation and eye quite nicely: http://weather.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p20-r/si.kclx.shtml. Another update will be sent out later today which will give an update on Alex, as well as the developing tropical wave in the deep tropics.
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