Although still packing hurricane-force winds, Fabian has enough extratropical characteristics to officially drop him as a tropical cyclone. These include a lack of centralized deep convection, cold-core aloft, and a front extending southward from the Low. He will remain a very powerful extratropical cyclone in the north central Atlantic, and influencing Greenland, Iceland, and major shipping lanes. The last advisory placed him at 49.8N 39.2W and zipping off to the NE at 34kts. Intensity was estimated at 65kts and 980mb. Fabian accumulated 11 Named Storm Days, 10 Hurricane Days, and 6.5 Intense Hurricane Days. TD Henri is very disorganized, yet refuses to dissipate. Shear from an advancing frontal boundary will soon destroy the system and it will merge with the front. At 15Z, TD Henri was located at 32.7N 75.6W and moving NE at 7kts. Winds are 30kts and the MSLP is 1006mb. I suspect any mention of him tomorrow will be in the form of an obituary. Hurricane Isabel continues to rapidly intensify, and is now the second major hurricane of the season. She reached CAT3 status at 15Z today at 17.2N 42.6W. This is VERY far east to reach major hurricane status, and she is forecast to reach CAT4 status by this evening. The MSLP fell 25mb in the previous 24 hour period, and 43mb in the past 48 hours. Intensity as of 15Z was 100kts and 962mb. The track forecast will take her just north of the Lesser Antilles by the weekend. Considering the location, motion, and intensity, the number of Intense Hurricane Days this season could easily be doubled by Isabel. (as an aside, the average number of IHD is 4.7; in 2002 there were 2.5, this year we could hit 15!) At 15Z today, the tropical wave I first mentioned on Saturday has been upgraded to TD14... the amazing part is how far EAST it made this step! It was located at 11.8N 22.1W and drifting W at 3kts. 22.1W is still east of the Cape Verde Islands!! Notice however, that both Isabel and TD14 were nearly stalled as they exited Africa, giving them time to fester before heading west; this gives them the edge on developing abnormally far east. It is expected to become TS Juan later today, but the track will most likely not follow Fabian and Isabel, but rather recurve early, perhaps by 40W. He could become a hurricane by mid-week, not affecting any land. Remember, September 10 is the climatological peak of the entire season, with a sharp increase in activity as we approach that date, so this queue of 3 named storms we've been maintaining is helping to reinforce the climatological records!
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