Kate has made the westward turn as forecast, and continues to maintain strong Tropical Storm intensity. As of 15Z, she was located at 32.2N 40.2W and tracking W at 10kts. Intensity is estimated to be 60kts and 991mb. The forecast is for slight strengthening, re-achieving hurricane strength later today as vertical shear continues to relax. She does appear to be forming an eye on both visible and infrared satellite imagery. For the 6th day, we're watching a large disturbance make its way into the southern Gulf of Mexico. It still has very deep and persistent convection, along with a broad circulation and 1006mb central pressure at about 22N 93W. However, recent aircraft recon reveals a non-tropical structure. It will continue to be monitored closely for tropical development. Again, this would be TD17/Larry if it forms.
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