If you recall Monday's update, things looked favorable for TD14 to quickly become a TS. However, the strong vertical shear (presently on the order of 35kts westerly) has been relentless due to the deep trough scooping though the Gulf of Mexico, and the storm continues to look more and more DISorganized. Recent satellite imagery reveals what seems to be a frontal structure rather than spiral bands, indicating the Depression is already becoming extratropical. At 15Z today, TD14 was located at 22.3N 80.2W (inland over central Cuba; their third landfall of the season) and tracking NE at 15kts. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for central Cuba and the Bahamas. It is expected to continue to the NE, picking up forward speed and losing what tropical characteristics it still has as it's absorbed into the mid-latitude trough. It looks like the storm will not get named... although the winds may reach TS intensity, it might not be tropical in nature by that time. The tropical wave SW of the Cape Verdes referenced yesterday is encountering much higher shear now, and attention can shift away from it for the next couple days, at which point we'll see if there's anything left of it.
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