For those of you keeping track, this is the second full week of talking about Kyle, and it's not over yet. Kyle has confounded all climatological wisdom about Atlantic storms with his longevity, mediocre intensity, and stagnation. As a named storm, his intensity has had a range of 40kts, and in terms of stagnation, in two weeks his entire track would fit within a box 20 degrees E-W by 7 degrees N-S. At 15Z today, TS Kyle was located at 30.2N 69.8W and is tracking NW at 5kts. Intensity is 35kts and 1004mb. The forecast is for a turn to the north, slight acceleration, and slight strengthening as the shear should lessen by Friday night. He's expected to be about 400km (250 miles) east of Cape Hatteras on Monday morning. After landfall on Thursday morning, Lili continued up through LA, then along the AR/TN border and is still tracking NE across the lower Mississippi Valley, but is no longer tropical in nature. The last advisory was written on Lili at 09Z today. I know of 14 tornadoes that she spawned in LA and MS yesterday after landfall, and more could occur today across northern AL, central TN, KY, IN, OH, and southeast MI as the vorticity associated with the remnants could still be focused into smaller-scale features... namely tornadoes. Other landfall effects include half a million people without power, many structures collapsed from wind or floods, and flooded coastal areas; but since 900,000+ people were evacuated in preparation for landfall, the human toll was greatly minimized (several injuries, but no known deaths so far).
Please visit my tropical Atlantic headquarters.
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