Since the primary update was mailed out earlier today, Lili has strengthened significantly. She is now at 120kts sustained (gusting to 145kts) and has a central pressure of 938mb. This makes her a CAT4 hurricane. The pressure has fallen 15mb in the past 6 hours, and the temperature in the eye is continuously rising. As of 21Z, Lili was at 25.9N 90.0W and tracking NW at 14kts. Landfall is expected to be very near Pecan Island at 18Z tomorrow (1300 CDT) as a 125kt storm (11kts shy of CAT5 status). Besides the severe sustained winds, gusts could reach 155kts (180mph), tornadoes will be likely in the rainbands and eyewall, storm surge could be 18-20' and travel 25 miles inland, and up to a foot of rain could fall along her path. Over 200,000 people have already been forced to evacuate, and more are still in progress. I'll take one sentence to summarize recent happenings with Kyle... he's now at 60kts and 991mb, so is almost a hurricane again.
Please visit my tropical Atlantic headquarters.
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