First, some more wrap-up on Dennis. Cuba and Haiti certainly suffered the most from this hurricane, with over 30 deaths between the two countries. Cuba lost much of its infrastructure, and some places observed over 25" of rain in one day. The US has just 4 indirect deaths (preliminary) associated with the storm, and just over 9" of rain as the peak. TD5 is a small system with several low-level centers. It remains to be seen which will become the dominant one. Satellite intensity estimates show 30kts and 1008mb, and a rough center at 10.6N 46.0W. Environmental conditions are favorable for gradual intensification, and this is expected to become TS Emily within the next 24 hours, and Hurricane Emily by Thursday afternoon. The forecast track takes it through the central Lesser Antilles, south of Puerto Rico, then over Hispaniola. Elsewhere, yet another potent tropical wave is tagging behind TD5 at about 7N 35W. Although this is rather far south, it has been sporting persistent deep convection and a broad mid-level circulation.Please visit my tropical Atlantic headquarters.
11 July 2005
TD5 still heading toward Lesser Antilles...
Posted by at 6:27 PM