At 09Z today (5am EDT), the intensity was 45kts and 1003mb and will likely be stronger by the 11am EDT advisory. The center was located about 170 miles east of the Nicaragua/Honduras border and tracking due west at 10kts; on that trajectory, the center will reach eastern Honduras late tonight -- but the outer circulation and rainbands will affect land very shortly. I have a long-range radar loop from Belize available which reaches out to central Honduras.
The forecast for Ernesto is becoming rather simple. The model guidance is in amazing agreement on the track passing just north along the coast of Honduras today and Tuesday, then a landfall on Belize early on Wednesday as a strong tropical storm. Of course, there is a possibility that it could achieve hurricane status by then. The official NHC forecast is shown below, along with the relevant watches and warnings. The full and most recent graphic can be found here.
On to Florence... the enormous amount of dry air surrounding this storm has overwhelmed and choked off all convection. It is now a weakening Depression and only a low-level swirl located about 1000 miles west of the Cape Verde islands.
Elsewhere, another easterly wave exited the African coast yesterday, but models have been dissipating it rather quickly.
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