30 November 2005

Epsilon strengthens...

Today is the last day of the official hurricane season, but apparently 
nobody told Epsilon, which is still out there and going strong.

The satellite presentation today is beautiful; there's symmetric 
outflow, nice banding features, and an eye/eyewall forming.  This visual 
appearance plus some help from other remote sensing techniques gives an 
estimated intensity of 55kts and 993mb.  It could strengthen further 
before transitioning to an extratropical cyclone this weekend... 
possibly reaching hurricane status.  It's tracking W at 8kts, but should 
begin a northeasterly movement tonight.  As of 15Z, it's located at 
30.7N 53.9W, or about 10 degrees ESE of Bermuda.

As a quick season wrap-up, we've seen 26 storms reach Tropical Storm 
intensity or higher.  13 of those reached Hurricane status, and 7 of 
those reached Major Hurricane status (CAT3+).  The "average" numbers are 
10 Tropical Storms, 6 Hurricanes, and 2 Major Hurricanes.  Taking into 
account the numbers of storms and longevity of them compared to average, 
this season was over 2.5 times more active than an average season 
(257%).  In the Atlantic, we witnessed the highest number of named 
storms in recorded history (26), the lowest pressure in recorded history 
(882mb), and the costliest disasters in US history ($100 billion+).  
There are scores of other records too.  I'll eventually be sending out 
my full summary, but this is a good teaser!  Stay tuned!

Please visit my tropical Atlantic headquarters.

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