On Nov 13, an area of disturbed weather in the far eastern Caribbean Sea was upgraded to TD27, but remained poorly organized. On Nov 16, the final advisory was written on it as it degenerated to an open wave. However, over the past couple of days, it has been left to fester in the western Caribbean Sea and has continually gotten better organized. An aircraft recon flight into this afternoon found not only a closed circulation, but tropical storm force winds, making it the 24th named storm of the season, Gamma. At 22Z, TS Gamma was located 16.4N 85.6W and creeping WNW at 4kts. Intensity measured by the aircraft is 40kts and 1006mb. Its future is not too bright, as vertical wind shear impinges on it and it drifts closer to land. However, the forecast track brings it northwest toward Cozumel/Cancun, then recurves and heads northeast toward the southern FL peninsula. With this addition, the season's NTC stands at 251% (recall that an "average" entire season is defined as 100%).
Please visit my tropical Atlantic headquarters.