29 November 2005

Epsilon forms in central Atlantic...

As the 2005 tropical Atlantic season persists, Epsilon, the 26th named 
storm, formed this morning.  It's located about 14 degrees east of 
Bermuda in the north central part of the basin and its latest satellite-
estimated intensity is 45kts and 993mb.  It is heading W at 7kts.  SST 
under the system is about 25C and vertical wind shear is about 15kts 
from the southwest.

The forecast is for gradual strengthening (largely owing to decreasing 
shear), perhaps reaching hurricane status within the next couple of 
days, then transitioning to an extratropical cyclone.  It is expected to 
drift westward for the next 1-2 days, the zip off to the ENE as it gets 
caught up in the mid-latitude westerlies.

As an aside, Delta became an extratropical cyclone and hit the northwest 
coast of Africa and the Canary Islands as a very potent storm.  It was a 
named tropical storm for 5 days.

The NTC for 2005 is now 257%.  The season has not been one to break 
records, it has been one to shatter them.  As most of you know, I send 
out a season summary each year at the end of the season.  I still plan 
on doing this, but it probably won't come out on Dec 1.  Eventually...

Please visit my tropical Atlantic headquarters.

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