|Afternoon visible satellite image over the southern Gulf of Mexico. (CIRA/RAMMB)|
|Surface winds as seen from the ASCAT instrument at 12:25pm EDT today showing a circulation centered in the middle of the Bay of Campeche. (OSI SAF)|
The model guidance remains in agreement on the track and intensity (in general). While there are some differences, the system is expected to move quite slowly to the W or WNW toward Mexico, and intensify. At the moment, the strongest it is forecast to get is a minimal hurricane, but most models keep it at tropical storm intensity with a landfall sometime early next week.
The next name on the list is Ingrid.
Gabrielle weakened to a Depression when it was at its closest approach to Bermuda, but has since re-intensified to a Tropical Storm. It's now about 200 miles NW of Bermuda, but this last gasp will be short-lived. Environmental conditions will soon become too hostile and it will dissipate as it heads toward an encounter with Nova Scotia on Friday evening.
|Enhanced satellite image of Tropical Storm Gabrielle on Thursday afternoon. The strong thunderstorms (white) are far displaced from the surface circulation (yellow). Bermuda is southeast of the storm. (NOAA)|
Humberto has now been a hurricane for nearly two days, and it might have one more day to go before it weakens. It is located about 460 miles northwest of the northernmost of the Cape Verde islands. The figure below shows the past track in gray, the current location as a red hurricane symbol, and various model forecast tracks in colored lines.
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