In the past 24 hours (09Z yesterday - 09Z today), the central pressure fell just 5mb, but the winds increased by 25kts. Further intensification is expected, perhaps reaching Category 2 status at landfall overnight. One key factor in limiting really rapid intensification is actually another tropical cyclone! Tropical Storm Manuel is on the other side of Mexico and the upper-level circulation over each cyclone is producing wind shear over the other.
|Tropical Storm Manuel in the East Pacific, and Hurricane Ingrid in the Gulf of Mexico are "attacking" Mexico from both sides today. (CIRA/RAMMB)|
Unfortunately, radar coverage of landfall is hindered due to technical problems with the radar in Altamira, Mexico. The radars in Alvarado, Mexico and Brownsville, Texas are too far away. However, there are a variety of satellite loops available at http://andrew.rsmas.miami.edu/bmcnoldy/tropics/atlantic/
Elsewhere, Humberto has temporarily weakened below Depression status, but is being watched for likely regeneration... still in the middle of the Atlantic.
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