Since yesterday, the convective activity in Alberto has dwindled, and much of the low-level circulation is exposed. It has also begun the anticipated eastward turn, now drifting away from the US coast rather than toward it.
The satellite image below shows the storm located about 175 miles east of Jacksonville FL. It is a disorganized 35kt tropical storm, and the motion is east at 6kts.
In the coming couple of days, the vertical shear will increase dramatically and the SST will decrease dramatically, resulting in a messy extratropical cyclone. The track forecast is shown here, and indicates a landfall-free exit off the US east coast.
Though nothing else is brewing across the basin now, but the next name on the 2012 list is Beryl.
Please visit my tropical Atlantic headquarters.
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