At 15Z today, the area of disturbed weather I mentioned yesterday was upgraded to Tropical Depression 20. This was based on surface observations in the area and the presentation on satellite. An aircraft will fly into the system later today to confirm or deny Tropical Storm status. If sustained winds in the surface circulation are at least 35kts, it will become TS Odette, the 15th named storm of the season (although the season is officially over). At 15Z, TD20 was located at 13.3N 76.3W and tracking NNE at 9kts. Intensity is 30kts and 1005mb. The storm is expected to strenghten, probably becoming a TS this afternoon, and to accelerate northward with time. This time of year, it would be very difficult for a tropical system to survive outside of the deep tropics, so it should make the extratropical transition during the weekend. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for all of the Haiti coast, and Tropical Storm Watches are in effect for portions of the southern Dominican Republic coast and the eastern islands of the Bahamas. Jamaica and Cuba could begin experiencing adverse weather today and warnings might be issued for those areas as well.
Please visit my tropical Atlantic headquarters.
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