The significant tropical wave and embedded Low that I mentioned yesterday has changed little in the past 24 hours. Late Wednesday night, there was a cold CDO, but by Thurs morning, it was largely gone. Banding features are still evident though, and a return of deep convection is expected later tonight. While shear and SST are favorable, it's in a general environment that is stable and dry, so that has been hindering a more rapid development. The low is presently at about 10N 37W and tracking W at 20kts. Models vary on whether or not the system will survive. Just for future reference, the next number/name on deck is 8/Erika.
Please visit my tropical Atlantic headquarters.
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