At 21Z Friday, Danny was upgraded to a hurricane with a MSLP of 1006mb. After some record searching by several people, this is apparently the highest pressure at which an Atlantic cyclone transitioned to a hurricane. Emily '93 was 1004mb and Bob '85 was 1003mb. Since then, he has entered cooler waters and is back to a Tropical Storm again, forecast to continue weakening. At 15Z today, TS Danny was located at 41.6N 40.0W and tracking ESE at 14kts. Intensity is 35kts and 1008mb. Although not expected to remain a defined tropical system, the circulation is forecast to continue circling around the Bermuda High, eventually heading S then SW. At 21Z Saturday, TD6 formed from the disturbance I had mentioned in the central deep tropics, east of the Lesser Antilles. It continues to organize and is forecast to reach Tropical Storm status later tonight or Monday morning. As of 15Z today, TD6 is at 13.0N 50.4W and heading W at 20kts. Winds are 30kts and the MSLP is 1008mb. It has the potential to become the third hurricane by mid-week. Once named, this storm will be Erika. The forecast track takes it across the central Lesser Antilles, then skimming just south of Dominican Republic, Haiti, and Cuba, entering the Gulf of Mexico by the end of the week. Conditions are favorable for this to develop. So far, 2003 is on par to match the record seasons of 1933 and 1995, since we are nearing the 5th named storm and it's not August yet.
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