|Views of Dorian at three different wavelengths, sensitive to visible, infrared, and water vapor. The ambient dry air is evident in the water vapor image (brown shades in bottom panel). (NOAA)|
The track forecasts from NHC and various dynamical models definitely reflect a weak storm being steered largely by the low-level trade winds. If it should happen to intensify, the trajectory would get nudged northward. But on the westward track, it --or its remnants-- will end up over Hispaniola and Cuba and deliver a lot of rain.
|Model and official track forecasts for Dorian... note that most don't even keep the storm through the nominal 5-day forecast period (120h). (UAlbany)|
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