Welcome to September, by far the busiest month of the Atlantic hurricane season!
As of this morning, Katia was upgraded to a hurricane (second of the season) with 65kt
sustained winds and a 987mb central pressure.
The disturbance that was near the northern Yucatan peninsula yesterday is now well into the Gulf (AL93). It has persistent deep convection, but is in about 20kts of vertical shear. This is forecast to let up over the next couple of days, perhaps allowing this to organize. The next name on the list is Lee.
There is also a small and highly-sheared circulation north of Bermuda that bears watching (AL94).
Please visit my tropical Atlantic headquarters.