|Enhanced infrared satellite image from 7:30am EDT. The approximate center of the disturbance is marked with a white X, with general forecast trajectories in white arrows. (NASA)|
Since this is a relatively large and disorganized system, the exact center of it does not matter much, but it does gives an idea of where the envelope of disturbed weather will be. No model, as of now, is forecasting anything beyond a mid-grade tropical storm (which only tells you about the wind speed... tropical storms can still be very dangerous, costly, and deadly because of the rain).
|Track forecasts for 91L (pre-TD2 or pre-Bill?) from Sunday morning. The first three models are global; the last three are regional, and all agree of a northwest track toward Texas, then recurving inland. (UAlbany)|
|Five-day forecast of accumulated rainfall totals, valid from Sunday morning through Friday morning. (NOAA/WPC)|
|Five-day forecast of accumulated rainfall from the 06Z GFS run, valid Sunday morning through Friday morning. (tropicaltidbits.com)|
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