11am EDIT: The eastern disturbance upgraded to Tropical Depression 6.
The quick version: neither one is a depression yet, but the eastern one is very close and the western one should remain weak but bring wet weather to FL in the coming days.
First, a look at the one that is over the Bahamas and headed for Florida. It has not gotten much better organized, and time is running short for it to do anything. It's now centered over the far northwestern Bahamas, and thunderstorm activity remains sparse. Although the water temperature under it is plenty warm, the vertical wind shear is picking up and should restrict any rapid organization.
|72hr rainfall forecast, valid Thu 8am - Sun 8am. (NOAA/WPC)|
Now onto the eastern disturbance, which is close to becoming a tropical depression or tropical storm. It's centered about 800 miles west of the Cape Verde islands this morning... and moving west-northwest at about 15mph.
|Visible satellite image from 9:15am. (NRLMRY)|
Trivia for today: the last time the fifth named storm occurred so late in the season was 20 years ago! Ernesto was named on Sept 22, 1994.
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